25085 football wins, Japan left a hand, China hangs, Brazil is sick, Italy is worry-free

1 Australia – Japan

The home team has 13 points and is in second place, followed by Saudi Arabia, this home team cannot lose, otherwise it will be very troublesome. The away team has already qualified, for such a game is to drill the lineup or exercise the substitutes, and the players who stay abroad will lose more than they lose if they are injured in this kind of game.

The data is not biased, and it is precisely because of this that the away team will definitely have reservations, and the home team is very likely to go all out to win, and the home team has more advantages under the rise of one or the other, but as the boss of Asia, defeat is unacceptable, and a draw is harmless.

First draw, second away win

2 Indonesia – China

The home team is in fourth place, with 9 points, which is also a must win for the home team, and recently naturalized players occupy its main lineup, the strength has increased greatly, and the whole qualifier has been played, it is still quite eye-catching, with one win and one draw against Saudi Arabia, and a draw against Australia. The current home team should not be underestimated.

The visitors are more chicken. Strength on paper doesn't play a big role in the game. In last year's meeting, although the away team won Indonesia 2-1, the post-match statistics were quite miserable, and the win was very lucky.

The stats gave the home team a lot of support, and it was a rhythm that purely ignored the visitors. I hope the national football team can bear it and fight for honor.

The first home wins, the second away wins

3 Bahrain – Saudi Arabia

The home team is fifth in the group stage, with six points, the same as China, and the home team is actually a weaker team in the whole game, with relatively poor attack and defense.

The visitors are third in third place with 10 points and must win to compete with Australia and Japan to beat their opponents.

The two sides played to a draw in the last round, and judging from the post-match data, the away team still took the initiative and the strength was indeed superior. The data gives the away team support, which is not very strong, but it is also good for the away team to cool down.

Away wins

4 Oman – Jordan

The home team is fourth in the group with 10 points, three points behind the visitors. The home team lost 0-4 to the away team in the first leg of the match between the two sides, and from the statistics after the game, the home team is indeed much worse than the away team, and it may be more in the mental level that the away team is a tough team, and the away team will have no problem as long as they win this game. It's a game the visitors can't lose.

The stats are not biased, which is a big difference from the first leg, but the mental attributes of the visitors will only be stronger.

First away win, second draw

5 UAE – Uzbe

In the first leg of the competition, the home team lost 0-1 to the away team, and the away team was superior in terms of technical statistics after the game, and this score does not fully represent the maturity of the skills and tactics shown by the away team.

The home team is currently four points behind the visitors, who are at least unbeaten.

The numbers are not biased, which is a big difference from the first leg in favor of the away team.

First draw, second away win

6 Iraq-Republic of Korea

The home team lost 3-2 to the visitors in the first leg, but it was clear from that game that there were still some problems at the back. Although they were much worse than the visitors in terms of possession, they were quite mature in their counter-attacking routines.

The data gives the visitors support, but it's quite limited and dangerous for the visitors.

The first away win, the second home win

7 Ecuador – Brazil

The home team is ranked second, with 23 points, 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in the last six games, 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses at home, scoring 7 goals and conceding 1 goal, and the attack and defense have performed quite well, and the last six home games have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, scoring 8 goals and conceding 1 goal, and the main battle ability is quite strong.

The away team is in fourth place, with 21 points, this is a game that cannot be lost, 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last six games, 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss away, scoring 11 goals and conceding 8 goals, the defense is indeed poor. In the last six away games, 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses, scoring 5 goals and conceding 11 goals, the away performance is quite poor, not like a strong team.

The stats gave the visitors support, but it was rather modest and hardly convincing. As things stand, the visitors need to brace themselves.

The first away win, the second home win

8 Paraguay – Uruguay

The home team has 21 points, ranked fifth, 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in the last six games, 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses at home, scored 9 goals and conceded 6 goals, the performance is still quite good, the last six home games 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, scored 7 goals and conceded 3 goals, the main battle ability is extremely terrifying, Brazil, Argentina, Colombia have fallen here.

The away team has 21 points, ranked sixth, this game is quite important for both sides, these six games 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses, away 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, scored 4 goals and conceded 5 goals, the ability to score goals has declined, but the defense is still online, the last six away 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss, scored 5 goals and conceded 4 goals.

The data gives the home team support, which is understandable, after all, the home team's performance in this qualifier is extremely eye-catching. However, the support is not enough, and the away team is above the home team in terms of strength.

The first draw, the second home win

9 Chile-Argentina

The home team has 10 points, ranking at the bottom, a South American powerhouse has fallen to this, the battle for the top of the table, the strength and state are not the same, but although the data gives the away team support, this strength seems a little too small, some lack of confidence. You still have to be on guard.

First away win, second draw

10 Czech Republic - Montenegro

The two teams are currently on the same number of points, so whoever wins this game will be in a fairly advantageous position, and from the past results, the home team is still quite combative, while the away team is a little weak. At the same time, the overall strength of the home team is still much higher than that of the away team.

Home wins

11 Norway-Italy

There is no shortage of famous players between the two teams, although the ranking difference is relatively large, but it does not mean that the home team is weaker than the away team, through the UEFA Nations League game, the home team is still more powerful at home, striker Haaland, midfielder Odegaard.

However, in terms of tournament experience, the away team is obviously much richer than the home team, and the technical and tactical level of the away team at the national team level is relatively higher.

The data is not biased, suggesting that there is still some perception of the away team's victory.

First draw, second away win

12 Macedonia – Belgium

The home team seems to be weak, but it can be seen that the first two rounds of games have maintained a relatively good form, especially against Wales, and it is not easy to get a draw. Needless to say, the away team is one notch higher in strength from any point of view, but the major leagues have just ended, and the run-in is a problem, and the state is also a problem.

First away win, second draw

13 Germany – Portugal

The data gives the home team a lot of support, and it is difficult to say which of the two teams is stronger or weaker, but the home team at least has the advantage of playing at home, and the away team's away ability may not be without loopholes.

Home wins

14 Spain-France

This is actually a Champions League match in disguise, last year the home team won 2-1, but from the post-match data, the two teams are actually very close to each other. There is not much difference in the data, and the two sides are relatively close.

The first draw, the second home win