Following the Premier League, another league is set to have five Champions League spots

Due to positive results in continental competitions, La Liga currently holds over 90% chance of securing the second additional spot for the 2026/27 Champions League season.

The race for the two additional Champions League spots under UEFA's new system is nearing its conclusion. While the Premier League has already secured the first spot due to a significant points gap, the remaining spot is a fierce competition between Spain (La Liga) and Germany (Bundesliga). Based on the latest developments after the first leg of the knockout rounds, Spanish football holds a tremendous advantage to claim victory.

Currently, on the UEFA coefficient ranking, La Liga maintains the second position with 20.906 points, ahead of the chasing Bundesliga with 20.285 points. Although in the recent matches, German representatives achieved impressive victories such as Bayern Munich defeating Real Madrid or Freiburg overcoming Celta Vigo, that alone is insufficient to close the accumulated gap from the start of the season.

German clubs earning more points in a single round (0.857 compared to Spain's 0.625) is only temporary and cannot yet create a turning point.

La Liga's solid foundation lies in the deep progression of its representatives in the most prestigious competition. Atletico Madrid's victory over Barcelona not only confirms internal strength but also ensures Spanish football will have a representative in the Champions League semi-finals.

Additionally, the "dark horse" Rayo Vallecano is accumulating crucial points in the Conference League after defeating AEK Athens. According to experts, UEFA's bonus point structure favors teams advancing deep in the Champions League, inadvertently putting the Bundesliga in a difficult position as they have fewer representatives capable of progressing further.

UEFA's scoring system is based on win results (2 points), draw results (1 point), and bonus points per round, then averaged by the total number of participating teams from each country. Despite Real Madrid and Celta Vigo stumbling in the first leg, the total bonus points from topping the group stage and advancing to the knockout rounds still help La Liga maintain a safe "buffer zone".

To reverse the situation, German clubs need an improbable scenario: achieving absolute victory in all remaining matches and hoping all Spanish representatives simultaneously falter.

However, given current form, this scenario is nearly impossible. If stability is maintained in the upcoming second legs, Spanish football will officially join England in having five representatives in Europe's most prestigious competition next season.