Analysis of Newcastle vs Sunderland at 19:00 on March 22, Premier League

21/03/2026 15:19:00 ChampionChatter

Analysis and odds prediction for Newcastle vs Sunderland at 19:00 on March 22. Forecast of the result, expected lineups, expert analysis for the match between Newcastle and Sunderland in Premier League round 31.

Match analysis: Newcastle vs Sunderland

The Tyne-Wear derby between Newcastle and Sunderland always brings a special atmosphere, and this reunion is no exception as both teams have their own objectives. Newcastle enters the match with home advantage and stable scoring form, while Sunderland carries certain confidence from their superior head-to-head record in recent times.

A notable point is Newcastle's Bruno Guimaraes, one of the team's top scorers with 9 goals, playing a crucial role in their attacking play. Meanwhile, Sunderland relies on Brian Brobbey, the striker who has scored 5 goals this season. However, the scoring efficiency of both teams in recent encounters shows a significant disparity, with Sunderland achieving a conversion rate of over 23%, far exceeding Newcastle's rate of just over 5%.

Head-to-head statistics also favor the away team. In the last five meetings, Sunderland has won three, drawn one, and lost only one, including a 1-0 victory in the most recent clash in December 2025. Moreover, Newcastle has failed to win in 8 out of the last 9 recent derbies, indicating considerable psychological pressure whenever these two teams meet.

Nhận định Newcastle vs Sunderland 19h00 ngày 22/03, Ngoại hạng Anh - Ảnh 1.

Nevertheless, considering their home form this season, Newcastle has performed quite impressively. They have scored 28 goals at home, averaging 1.87 goals per match, significantly higher than their away record. However, their defense has also revealed many issues, conceding 24 goals.

On the other hand, Sunderland appears weak when playing away. They have scored only 8 goals in 30 away matches, averaging 0.53 goals per game – one of the weakest attacking records in the league. Despite this, they have maintained a scoring streak in their last seven away trips to Newcastle, showing that the derby is always a different story.

Another noteworthy point is that Newcastle leads the league in corner kicks, averaging 6.5 per match, demonstrating their ability to apply continuous pressure. Meanwhile, Sunderland belongs to the group of teams that allow the most shots from opponents, receiving an average of 14.6 shots per game.

Overall, although Sunderland holds the head-to-head advantage, their poor away form and lack of sharpness in attack make it difficult for them to maintain this edge. Newcastle, with the support of their home fans and the motivation to end their disappointing streak against this rival, is likely to seize the opportunity to secure a victory in this tense derby.

Squad Status for Newcastle vs Sunderland

Newcastle: Lewis Miley, Emil Krafth, Fabian Schar, Bruno Guimaraes injured; Sandro Tonali's availability is uncertain.

Sunderland: Jocelin Ta Bi, Nilson Angulo, Romaine Mundle, Bertrand Traore absent; several players like Le Fee, Ballard, Mukiele require fitness checks.