Analysis and odds for Brighton vs Nottingham Forest, 21:00 on 01/03, Premier League

28/02/2026 07:13:00 esportapi

Analysis and odds for Brighton vs Nottingham Forest, 21:00 on 01/03. Predictions, expected lineups, and expert analysis for the Premier League Round 28 match between Brighton & Hove Albion and Nottingham Forest.

Match Analysis: Brighton vs Nottingham Forest

90-minute Asian Handicap: 0 : 1/2

Total Goals: 2 1/2

Brighton enters Round 28 in 14th place with 34 points from 27 matches, having scored 36 goals and conceded 34, a +2 goal difference indicating relative balance. However, their recent form is unstable with only 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches, despite a 2-0 away win against Brentford in the previous round. At the Amex, the "Seagulls" have scored 20 of their 36 goals this season, averaging 1.54 goals per home game while conceding only 1.08 per game, ranking among the top 5 home defenses in the league. Nevertheless, they have failed to win in 6 of their last 7 home matches, suggesting their home advantage has not been fully utilized.

Nottingham Forest sits in 17th place with 27 points, having scored 25 and conceded 39, a -14 goal difference highlighting defensive issues. They are among the three teams with the most losses (14) after 27 rounds and are also in the group with the weakest attack (0.9 goals per game). Away from home, Forest has scored only 12 goals and conceded 20, averaging 1.54 goals conceded per away match. However, they have scored in their last 4 away matches and previously defeated Brighton in the FA Cup this season.

Nhận định, soi tỷ lệ Brighton vs Nottingham Forest 21h00 ngày 01/03, Ngoại hạng Anh - Ảnh 1.

Individually, Danny Welbeck is Brighton's key striker with 9 goals, exceeding expected goals metrics. For Forest, Morgan Gibbs-White leads with 6 goals and 40 chance-creating passes, serving as a crucial creative force. The history of their last 5 meetings is balanced with 2 wins each and 1 draw; however, in the last 9 encounters, Forest has scored 17 goals compared to Brighton's 9, averaging 1.89 goals per match – significantly higher than their seasonal average. Brighton, meanwhile, has averaged only 1 goal per game in these head-to-head matches, below their seasonal average.

With advantages in ball possession, accurate passing, and a record of no red cards this season, Brighton is rated slightly higher. However, Forest is in a relegation battle and may opt for a compact, defensive approach, waiting for counter-attacking opportunities. This promises to be a tense match where a moment of individual brilliance could decide the outcome.