Analysis and odds for Leeds vs Manchester City at 00:30 on March 1st, English Premier League

27/02/2026 19:00:00 FieldFrenzy

Analysis and odds for Leeds vs Manchester City at 00:30 on March 1st. Match prediction, expected lineups, and expert opinion for the Leeds vs Manchester City fixture in round 28 of the English Premier League.

Match Analysis: Leeds vs Manchester City

90-Minute Full-Time Result: 1 : 0

Total Goals: 2 3/4

Leeds enter the home fixture against Manchester City at Elland Road with a degree of confidence following an unbeaten run in February in the Premier League (1 win, 2 draws). Dominic Calvert-Lewin is their primary attacking hope, having scored 10 goals, placing him 6th in the Golden Boot race. The home side has scored 22 of their 37 goals at home, averaging 1.69 goals per match while conceding 1.38, demonstrating their capability to challenge top opponents. Notably, Leeds have scored in 10 of their last 11 home games and are among the teams with the fewest red cards in the league (0).

However, the head-to-head record leans heavily in Manchester City's favor. In their last five meetings, The Citizens have won all, including a 3-2 victory in the reverse fixture in November 2025. Across the last nine encounters, Man City have scored 26 goals from 121 shots, averaging 2.89 goals per game – 0.82 goals higher than their seasonal average. Matches between these two sides often see high scores, with 5 of the last 9 games featuring 4 or more goals.

Nhận định, soi tỷ lệ Leeds vs Manchester City 00h30 ngày 01/03, Ngoại hạng Anh - Ảnh 1.

Manchester City are currently one of the league's top three scoring teams with 56 goals in 27 rounds, averaging 2.1 goals per match. Away from home, they have scored 22 and conceded only 16, achieving a rate of 1.69 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Erling Haaland leads the scoring charts with 22 goals, while Antoine Semenyo has also contributed 13, forming a formidable attacking force. Pep Guardiola's side is unbeaten in 14 of their last 15 league matches and has won their two most recent away visits to Leeds.

Nevertheless, Elland Road always holds potential for surprises, as Leeds often produce explosive performances against top teams. If they can maintain focus and avoid squandering leads – a recurring issue – the hosts are fully capable of creating an open contest. Manchester City are still the favorites, but this could pose a genuine test in their title race.