Analysis and odds for Burnley vs Brentford, 22:00 on February 28, English Premier League

27/02/2026 19:05:00 pandatv

Analysis and odds for Burnley vs Brentford, 22:00 on February 28. Match prediction, expected lineups, and expert insights for the Burnley vs Brentford fixture in Premier League round 28.

Match Analysis: Burnley vs Brentford

90-Minute Handicap: 3/4 : 0

Total Goals: 2 1/2

Burnley returns to Turf Moor determined to extend their positive run after securing 4 points from their last two Premier League matches, including a 3-2 win over Crystal Palace and a 1-1 draw at Chelsea. Scott Parker's side has shown commendable fighting spirit, often coming from behind or scoring late, exemplified by Zian Flemming's sixth goal of the season at Stamford Bridge. However, the overall picture remains bleak: they have lost 16 of 27 matches, are among the three teams with the fewest wins, and have faced the most shots in the league at 448. At home, Burnley has scored only 12 goals, averaging 0.92 per match, while conceding 1.46 per game, placing them last in scoring efficiency at Turf Moor.

Nhận định, soi tỷ lệ Burnley vs Brentford 22h00 ngày 28/02, Ngoại hạng Anh - Ảnh 1.

Nevertheless, recent head-to-head history offers some psychological support for the hosts, as they are unbeaten in their last four home matches against Brentford. In their last five meetings, each side has won two to three times, with Brentford winning 3-1 in the reverse fixture in November 2025. Statistics from their last nine encounters show an open trend, with 7 matches featuring 2 or more goals, where the most common total goals were 3 or 4. Burnley averages 1.44 goals per game in these meetings, higher than their seasonal average.

On the other side, Brentford travels to Lancashire following a 0-2 loss to Brighton, but prior to that, they had won 4 of their last 5 away matches in the Premier League. Keith Andrews' side has scored 16 goals in 13 away trips, averaging 1.23 per match, while conceding 1.69 per game. Igor Thiago is their most dangerous threat with 17 goals, ranking second in the Golden Boot race, including 8 away goals. Their consistent away form fuels Brentford's ambition to break into the European qualification spots if they maintain their current level. Facing a Burnley side with a leaky defense, the visitors' chance to secure all three points appears very clear.