Analysis and odds for Newcastle vs Everton at 22:00 on February 28th. Predictions for the result, expected lineups, and expert analysis for the match between Newcastle United and Everton in the 28th round of the English Premier League.
90-minute Asian Handicap: 0 : 3/4
Total Goals: 2 3/4
Newcastle enters round 28 in 11th place with 36 points from 27 matches, trailing Everton by just one point but having played one more game. The Premier League form of Eddie Howe's side has been quite inconsistent, losing four of their last five matches, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to Manchester City. However, the overall picture is more positive as they have won four of their last five matches across all competitions, scoring 15 goals, including an impressive 4-1 victory over Everton in the reverse fixture in November 2025. At St James' Park, the Magpies have scored 24 of their 38 goals this season, averaging 1.85 goals per game, ranking fourth in the league for home scoring efficiency. Their defense, however, has been less solid, conceding an average of 1.54 goals per match at home.

Everton sits in 9th place with 37 points from 26 matches but has just suffered back-to-back home defeats against Bournemouth and Manchester United. In their last five league games, they have recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss. Notably, David Moyes's team has been tough to beat away from home: scoring 13 goals and conceding only 12 in 13 away trips, averaging less than one goal conceded per game, leading the league for fewest goals conceded away. However, they are among the bottom three teams for average possession (30.1%) and have received four red cards, indicating a defensive, counter-attacking style of play that is not afraid of physical challenges.
Individually, Bruno Guimaraes is Newcastle's biggest hope with 9 goals, while Everton's goal-scoring burden is shared by Ndiaye, Dewsbury-Hall, and Barry (each with 5 goals). The recent head-to-head history is quite balanced: Newcastle has won 1, Everton has won 2, with 2 draws in the last 5 meetings. Statistics from the last 9 encounters show that 4 matches had a maximum of 1 goal, with 1-0 being the most frequent scoreline. With Newcastle having lost 4 of their last 5 rounds and Everton frequently scoring at St James' Park, this promises to be a tight contest. Home advantage gives Newcastle a slight edge, but Everton's stable away form is enough for them to aim for at least a point.
Newcastle United: Jacob Ramsey is a doubt; Bruno Guimaraes, Tino Livramento, Fabian Schar, Lewis Miley, and Emil Krafth are injured.
Everton: Jack Grealish and Carlos Alcaraz are injured; Mark Travers is awaiting assessment; Jake O'Brien returns from suspension.
Newcastle United: Pope; Trippier, Thiaw, Burn, Hall; Willock, Tonali, Joelinton; Elanga, Gordon, Barnes.
Everton: Pickford; O'Brien, Tarkowski, Keane, Branthwaite; Garner, Gueye; Armstrong, Dewsbury-Hall, Ndiaye; Barry.
25/02/2026: Newcastle 3-2 Qarabag (Champions League)
22/02/2026: Manchester City 2-1 Newcastle (Premier League)
19/02/2026: Qarabag 1-6 Newcastle (Champions League)
15/02/2026: Aston Villa 1-3 Newcastle (FA Cup)
11/02/2026: Tottenham 1-2 Newcastle (Premier League)
24/02/2026: Everton 0-1 Manchester Utd (Premier League)
11/02/2026: Everton 1-2 Bournemouth (Premier League)
07/02/2026: Fulham 1-2 Everton (Premier League)
31/01/2026: Brighton 1-1 Everton (Premier League)
27/01/2026: Everton 1-1 Leeds (Premier League)
30/11/2025: Everton 1-4 Newcastle (Premier League)
25/05/2025: Newcastle 0-1 Everton (Premier League)
05/10/2024: Everton 0-0 Newcastle (Premier League)
03/04/2024: Newcastle 1-1 Everton (Premier League)
08/12/2023: Everton 3-0 Newcastle (Premier League)
The match is evenly poised, with Everton capable of securing a point.