What scenarios allow the Vietnam futsal team to reach the Southeast Asian semifinals?

Despite Australia winning their first two games, the contest for the semifinals in Group B is still very uncertain, with the Vietnam women's futsal team facing the possibility of progressing or being knocked out in the last match.

Group B of the 2026 Southeast Asian Women's Futsal Championship is unfolding in a highly unpredictable manner before the last round. Even with two wins, Australia hasn't secured a semifinal spot yet. Meanwhile, the Vietnam women's futsal team also faces elimination risk, even if they beat Myanmar.

In the most recent match, Australia staged an impressive comeback against Myanmar. After falling behind, the Kangaroos quickly regained control and scored six consecutive goals, concluding the game 6-1. However, 6 points from two games do not guarantee their advancement. If they lose to the Philippines by three or more goals in the final round, Australia could be eliminated.

Thus, the situation in Group B remains wide open for many outcomes. Myanmar, despite having only 3 points, still has hope. If they defeat Vietnam by a 3-goal margin and Australia beats the Philippines, Myanmar, the Philippines, and Vietnam will all have 3 points. Thanks to a better head-to-head goal difference, Myanmar would claim the second semifinal spot. However, this scenario is considered unlikely.

For the Vietnam women's futsal team, the primary task is to defeat Myanmar. After that, Coach Nguyễn Đình Hoàng’s squad will wait for the result of the later match between Australia and the Philippines on February 26. If the Philippines fail to win, Vietnam and Australia will both advance to the semifinals.

The most complicated scenario occurs if the Philippines defeat Australia. In that case, Australia, the Philippines, and Vietnam would each have 6 points. If the Philippines win by just one goal, Vietnam has the advantage in head-to-head goal difference. If the Philippines win 2-0, all head-to-head stats are equal, and overall goal difference will be considered, forcing Vietnam to beat Myanmar by at least 2 goals.

If the Philippines beat Australia by three goals, they will gain a significant advantage in head-to-head goal difference. Notably, if the Philippines win by two goals but score three or more goals, Vietnam will be eliminated due to fewer goals scored in direct encounters. With many overlapping scenarios, the Group B semifinal race promises to be decided only in the final moments.