Issue 25190 Football 14 Matches, Manchester City is secure, Wolves fight for relegation, Liverpool needs caution

1 Bournemouth vs Burnley

The home team ranks 13th, with 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses in the last six matches; at home, 0 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss; scored 8 goals and conceded 14. Recent form has been poor, with a drop in ranking, but the last two draws against Chelsea and Manchester United indicate a recovery. Their last six home matches show 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 7 goals scored and 4 conceded, proving their home capability is trustworthy.

The away team ranks 19th, with 0 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses in the last six matches; away record is 0 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses; scored 6 goals and conceded 14. They still show no signs of relegation survival strength. In their last six away games, they have 1 win, 0 draws, and 5 losses, scoring 9 and conceding 17, only beating fellow relegation candidate Wolves.

The data strongly supports the home team. Although their recent form is not good, their home performance is strong. The 4-4 draw with Manchester United last round also shows their attacking power is not weak. However, they may have some physical disadvantages, so caution is advised.

Primary pick: home win, secondary: draw

2 Manchester City vs West Ham

The home team’s recent form has lifted them to second place, just two points behind the leader. In the last six matches, they have 5 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss; at home, 3 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses; scored 18 goals and conceded 8. Their defense is slightly weak but compensated by strong offense. In the last six home games, they are unbeaten with 6 wins, scoring 19 and conceding only 4, showing strong home reliability.

The away team ranks 18th, still in the relegation zone. Their last six matches include 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses; away record is 0 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses; scored 9 goals and conceded 11. Their performance is poor. Last round, they lost a two-goal lead against Villa, revealing defensive issues. In their last six away games, they have 0 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 9, showing weak away winning ability and too many draws against generally weak opponents.

The data strongly favors the home team. Despite competing in multiple competitions, the players’ fitness seems unaffected.

Home win

3 Wolves vs Brentford

The home team remains at the bottom, with 0 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses in the last six matches; at home, 0 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses; scored 2 goals and conceded 13, with a very poor attack and defense. In the last six home games, they have 0 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 14.

The away team ranks 15th, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last six matches; away record is 0 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses; scored 8 goals and conceded 9. Performance is average. In their last six away games, they have 1 win, 0 draws, and 5 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 11, showing very poor away form.

The data gives some support to the away team, though not strongly. Considering the away team’s poor away record and the home team’s strong motivation to avoid relegation, this match could be unpredictable.

Primary pick: away win, secondary: home win

4 Tottenham vs Liverpool

The home team ranks 11th, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in the last six matches; at home, 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss; scored 8 goals and conceded 13, with very poor defense. Particularly disappointing was the last round’s 0-3 away loss to Nottingham. In their last six home games, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 8, showing poor performance.

The away team ranks 7th, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last six matches; away record is 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss; scored 8 goals and conceded 10. Although inconsistent, they have stabilized somewhat, and the return of the Pharaoh has improved team morale. In their last six away games, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, scoring 9 and conceding 13. With one win and one draw in the last two rounds, it seems the away team is shaking off their losing streak.

The data slightly favors the away team. Given recent form, they appear to be recovering and there is reason to believe they can avoid defeat.

Primary pick: away win, secondary: draw

5 Everton vs Arsenal

The home team has played their best season yet, currently 9th, with 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses in the last six matches; at home, 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss; scored 8 goals and conceded 6, showing balanced offense and defense. Losses to Newcastle and Chelsea reflect their level. In the last six home games, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 9 and conceding 9.

The away team is temporarily first, but Manchester City is only two points behind, making the championship race uncertain. In the last six matches, they have 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss; away record is 0 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss; scored 12 goals and conceded 7. Defense is somewhat loose. In their last six away games, they have 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 9 and conceding 6. They have not won in three consecutive away matches, and player fitness is uncertain due to competing on multiple fronts.

The data supports the away team but not strongly. The home team’s pragmatic style and the away team’s questionable away form suggest this match could have surprises.

Primary pick: away win, secondary: draw

6 Leeds vs Crystal Palace

The home team ranks 17th, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in the last six matches; at home, 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss; scored 11 goals and conceded 13. They are unbeaten in the last three games. Despite defensive weaknesses, their offense has been effective. In the last six home matches, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 12 and conceding 11, showing some resilience in tough matches.

The away team ranks 5th, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last six matches; away record is 3 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses; scored 6 goals and conceded 6. Their performance is average, with one draw and two losses at home. In the last six away games, they have 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 5, showing good away form. Although their goal count is low, their defense is solid.

The data does not show a clear preference, but recent form suggests the home team might be tougher.

Primary pick: draw, secondary: home win

7 Cologne vs Union Berlin

The home team ranks 10th. As the season progresses, their lack of strength is becoming apparent. They have 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses in the last six matches; at home, 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss; scored 10 goals and conceded 12. In the last six home games, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 14 and conceding 10, showing strong offense but average defense.

The away team ranks 8th, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last six matches; away record is 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss; scored 8 goals and conceded 8. Their performance is average. In the last six away games, they have 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 12, showing poor away form.

The data shows no clear bias but slightly favors the home team, who have some home advantage.

Home win

8 Hamburg vs Frankfurt

The home team ranks 14th, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last six matches; at home, 2 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses; scored 8 goals and conceded 13. Their three losses were all away. In the last six home games, they have 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Teams like Dortmund and Stuttgart have failed to beat them at home, showing strong home capability.

The away team ranks 7th, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last six matches; away record is 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss; scored 8 goals and conceded 11. Overall, their performance is good. They maintain stability against mid-to-lower teams. In the last six away games, they have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 14 and conceding 19. Their defense is worrisome but their attack compensates. Their away strength is average.

The data shows no clear preference but indirectly gives some confidence to the home team. This matches the home and away strength comparison.

Primary pick: away win, secondary: home win

9 Wolfsburg vs Freiburg

The home team ranks 13th and is not weak in strength but has struggled with form. In the last six matches, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses; at home, 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses; scored 11 goals and conceded 11. Their recent three-game unbeaten streak shows form is improving. In the last six home games, they have 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, scoring 9 and conceding 14. Although the record looks poor, three losses were against strong opponents.

The away team ranks 9th, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last six matches; away record is 0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses; scored 10 goals and conceded 10. In the last six away games, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 10, showing limited away strength.

The data shows no clear bias but slightly favors the home team. Based on their recent form, the home side is likely entering a phase to earn points.

Home win

10 Leipzig vs Leverkusen

The home team is second, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last six matches; at home, 3 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses; scored 13 goals and conceded 7. Their one draw and two losses were away, showing some instability. In the last six home games, they have 6 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses, scoring 18 and conceding 3, demonstrating strong home form.

The away team ranks third, just three points behind the home team. In the last six matches, they have 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses; away record is 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses; scored 12 goals and conceded 8. Their performance is inconsistent. In the last six away games, they have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 12 and conceding 13. They concede too many goals away, with defensive concerns.

The data slightly supports the home team. This is a small advantage, but the away team’s fatigue from multiple competitions is a weakness.

Primary pick: home win, secondary: draw

11 Lazio vs Cremonese

The home team ranks 8th, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last six matches; at home, 2 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses; scored 6 goals and conceded 4. Their one draw and two losses were against strong opponents, which is normal. In the last six home games, they have 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 9 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in the last five matches, showing they can perform well at home.

The away team ranks 11th, with 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses in the last six matches; away record is 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses; scored 7 goals and conceded 8. In their last six away games, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 8.

The data strongly supports the home team. The away team has improved this season and, after beating Bologna and drawing with strong Como, their away games should be approached with caution due to their unpredictable nature.

Primary pick: home win, secondary: draw

12 Juventus vs Roma

The home team ranks 5th, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last six matches; at home, 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses; scored 7 goals and conceded 5. Their offense is average but their defense is solid. They lost narrowly by one goal away to Napoli. In the last six home games, they have 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, scoring 10 and conceding 6, showing reliable home form.

The away team ranks 4th, having briefly held the top spot. In the last six matches, they have 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses; away record is 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses; scored 6 goals and conceded 4. Their defense seems tight but the three conceded goals correspond to three losses. In the last six away games, they have 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Losing to Cagliari was unexpected.

The data supports the home team. Currently, the home team seems to perform better than the away team. The away side appears to lack confidence against strong opponents, which also reflects a lack of respect for their away strength.

Primary pick: draw, secondary: home win

13 Levante vs Sociedad

The home team is at the bottom, with poor offense and defense. In the last six matches, they have 0 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses; at home, 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses; scored 3 goals and conceded 11. In the last six home games, they have 0 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, scoring 6 and conceding 16.

The away team ranks 15th, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last six matches; away record is 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss; scored 10 goals and conceded 10. They have not won in the last three games and seem to be back on a downward path. Their opponents were not strong: Girona, Alavés, and Villarreal. In the last six away games, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 9.

The data supports the away team but not strongly. Recent form suggests the away side lacks a winning momentum. The home team needs points for survival, making every home match crucial.

Primary pick: away win, secondary: home win

14 Real Madrid vs Sevilla

Home win