Prediction and odds analysis for Celta Vigo vs Barcelona at 3:00 AM on November 10. Forecast of the outcome, expected lineups, and expert insights for the La Liga Round 12 match between Celta Vigo and Barcelona.
90-minute odds: 3/4 : 0
Total goals: 3 1/4
Celta Vigo has emerged as one of the toughest teams in La Liga this season. They have lost only 2 of 11 matches—fewer than most teams except Real Madrid and Atletico—but 7 draws have kept Claudio Giraldez’s squad from climbing into the upper half of the standings, currently sitting 12th with 13 points. Their remarkable form includes 5 consecutive wins across all competitions and an unbeaten streak of 8 games. Confidence comes from a disciplined playing style, focusing on quick transitions and strong wing play with Oscar Mingueza, Jorgen Strand Larsen, or Borja Iglesias acting as physical and linking pillars. Their defense is well-organized, pressing at a moderate but effective level. With home advantage at Balaidos and high spirits, Celta can put Barcelona under intense pressure as they did last season.
Barcelona has a potent attack but serious instability in defense. Over 11 La Liga rounds, they have conceded 13 goals, most recently a 3-3 draw with Club Brugge despite leading comfortably, revealing many defensive transition weaknesses. Although second in the table with 25 points (8 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), Barca does not inspire confidence in fast-paced games. Missing Raphinha, Pedri, and Ter Stegen disrupts their balance noticeably. Still, their attacking prowess remains a solid foundation with Lamine Yamal and Ferran Torres, while De Jong provides rhythm and the ability to evade pressing. If they control the tempo and lock down the flanks, Barca can dominate, but a high-scoring, risky open match is expected.
Barcelona holds a slight advantage in head-to-heads, winning 3 of the last 4 meetings, including a 4-3 victory in last season’s first leg. However, Celta is always a threat at home, having drawn 2-2 last season and beaten Barca 2-1 in 2022/23. These matches often feature many goals and unpredictable action. Balaidos has never been an easy venue for the Catalan team.
Celta Vigo: Absent: Williot Swedberg, Javi Rueda, Hugo Alvarez, and goalkeeper Ionut Andrei Radu (injuries).
Barcelona: Absent: Gavi, Ter Stegen, Raphinha, Pedri, Eric Garcia. The availability of Christensen and Joan Garcia is uncertain.
Celta Vigo: Villar; Rodriguez, Starfelt, Alonso; Mingueza, Beltran, Moriba, Carreira; Jutgla, Iglesias, Zaragoza.
Barcelona: Szczesny; Kounde, Araujo, Cubarsi, Balde; Casado, De Jong; Yamal, Fermin, Rashford; Torres.
07/11/2025: Dinamo Zagreb 0 – 3 Celta Vigo (Europa League)
02/11/2025: Levante 1 – 2 Celta Vigo (La Liga)
31/10/2025: Puerto de Vega 0 – 2 Celta Vigo (Copa del Rey)
27/10/2025: Osasuna 2 – 3 Celta Vigo (La Liga)
24/10/2025: Celta Vigo 2 – 1 Nice (Europa League)
06/11/2025: Club Brugge 3 – 3 Barcelona (Champions League)
03/11/2025: Barcelona 3 – 1 Elche (La Liga)
26/10/2025: Real Madrid 2 – 1 Barcelona (La Liga)
21/10/2025: Barcelona 6 – 1 Olympiacos (Champions League)
18/10/2025: Barcelona 2 – 1 Girona (La Liga)
19/04/2025: Barcelona 4 – 3 Celta Vigo (La Liga)
24/11/2024: Celta Vigo 2 – 2 Barcelona (La Liga)
18/02/2024: Celta Vigo 1 – 2 Barcelona (La Liga)
23/09/2023: Barcelona 3 – 2 Celta Vigo (La Liga)
05/06/2023: Celta Vigo 2 – 1 Barcelona (La Liga)
Celta is in excellent form and very difficult to beat at home, but Barcelona still has a slight advantage thanks to their attacking quality and ability to create chances in the final third. However, Barca’s defensive gaps make it hard for them to keep a clean sheet. An open, high-scoring match with potential surprises is the most likely outcome.
Predicted score: Celta Vigo 2 – 3 Barcelona