Hello to all LPL viewers and League of Legends summoners, this is Tianxia Game Exchange.
After the start of the third phase of LPL, the first match between AL and BLG produced an unexpected outcome, and after that match, AL faced WBG as their second opponent in the new phase.
Unexpectedly, AL lost again in this round, succumbing to their opponent in the same way.
AL has started the season with two consecutive losses, and their top jungler has fallen.
In the previous round against BLG, AL initially took the lead but ended up losing the match after BLG came back from behind. At that time, many believed BLG had suddenly become stronger, though AL might have been fatigued after returning from EWC, still adjusting to their optimal competitive form.
As a result, in the match against WBG, AL stumbled again, facing two consecutive losses at the start of the season. The common factor in both lost matches was that player Tarzan did not deliver a standout performance.
In the deciding game against BLG, Tarzan's performance as Jarvan IV was completely suppressed by Shadow, failing to rally the team. Similarly, in the decisive match against WBG, Tarzan's poor performance was overshadowed by Xiaotian, resulting in a post-match rating of only 3.3. When AL's jungler underperforms, the team is prone to falling behind.
As the top jungler in LPL, Tarzan carries a heavy burden, often needing to lead the team to achieve outstanding results. However, once opponents understand AL's playstyle and strategy, AL easily falls into a passive position. The previously strong performance of Shanks has also declined, and the team's three carries cannot provide enough support for the jungler.
After defeating Faker but losing to Xiaohu, AL's weaknesses have been exposed.
In the EWC matches, AL swept T1, where Faker plays, gaining significant momentum. No one expected this team to be defeated by WBG, who locked down Xiaohu after returning home. Meanwhile, Faker exploded after returning, leading T1 to take revenge on GEN, demonstrating the fluctuating state of top-tier teams.
AL's playstyle has also been recognized by viewers, revealing that the team struggles with bottom lane matchups and has a weak champion pool in the top lane. Once targeted, the bottom lane becomes vulnerable, prompting AL to opt for early lane swaps to help establish rhythm. However, in yesterday's match, WBG clearly understood AL's lane swap strategy and directly chose a faster lane swap, successfully breaking AL's plan.
It can be said that AL's Achilles' heel lies in the laning phase. If AL faces difficulties in the laning phase and cannot quickly unlock jungle-support synergy, the team is likely to collapse. Undeniably, AL is one of the hardest-working teams in the LPL, but their inherent weaknesses in composition still affect their performance, which is undoubtedly bad news for the LPL.
If AL cannot find a solution, they may be crushed by Korean teams again when facing them at the World Championship, making it difficult to compete in the later stages of a best-of-five series.
Just a step away from winning the championship, AL's ceiling is hard to break through.
In my opinion, AL fell in the final game of both MSI and EWC finals, which is a significant regret for them. If they could have won one of those matches and claimed the championship, this roster would have achieved its goal. Unfortunately, GEN's raw strength was clearly superior, and in the final deciding game, GEN's chances of winning were likely over seventy percent.
Losing the final games twice is statistically probable; AL's issue is that they have fully developed their players' potential and have nearly reached the best performance possible with this lineup, yet still cannot secure a championship.
If AL continues to perform poorly in the latter part of the third phase, they may need to consider roster changes, possibly replacing a bottom lane player or even bringing in a substitute for the top lane to reach a higher level. However, there are currently no suitable candidates, and if there were, other teams would likely be unwilling to make changes.
From a hindsight perspective, Leave seems quite suitable for AL, but he remains with NIP. If AL attempts to trade for him, it could potentially succeed, but they would face immense public pressure. If Leave does not perform as well as Hope, AL would be in trouble.