Tomorrow, the annual NBA Finals will kick off. The old rules, Brother Di's poisoned milk prediction is arranged. For the sake of the completion rate, let's start with the point of view:The Thunder won within 6 games.
The probability of the Pacers winning is about 15%, and it cannot be ruled out that this year will be a one-sided Finals meeting.
If the Pacers can make it to Game 6, it will have exceeded my expectations. Of course, this is just Brother Di's poisoned milk, as we all know, the teams I favor often end out unkindly... Therefore, if there are different points of view, we can discuss them, and if you don't like it, don't spray.
I can understand the mood of a lot of people right now, who want the Pacers to win. One is competitive sports, we like to watch the weak defeat the strong, and we hope to see the story of David knocking down Goliath with a stone... The second is that many people don't like SGA's style of play.
As for the respect for walkers, we have talked about it before, so I won't repeat it.
However, Brother Di can't hold everyone and say that you have to think that the Pacers have an advantage, which is so boring, even if you are really an Indiana fan, you must not want to see such words.
One yard to one yard, the Thunder are indeed the stronger team.
The 68-win and 50-win teams in the regular season were the biggest margin of wins between the two sides in the NBA's 44-year Finals.
The Thunder have the best interdivision record in history against Eastern Conference teams this season with a 29-1 record.
Pacers are bound to be hard to beat.
Tell me why.
First of all, we must understand what is the core of Indiana's ability to kill the East, and there is no doubt about it, offense. The Pacers' biggest offensive threat comes from Haliburton's 14 or 15 pick-and-rolls.
Then, the team is an all-space lineup.
Why can't the three teams that lost to the Pacers get it? There are too many colanders.
The Bucks' Da Luo is a defensive hole, and his feet are too slow to use him in the end. Besides, Kuzma is not a defensive athlete either.
There are two players in the starting line who can't be defended, and this ball can't be played. To the Cavaliers, Mitchell and Garland, two short guards, are pure colanders. When it comes to the East Finals, I won't go into detail about the defensive effect of Big Head and Downs.
What about Thunder? In terms of the dominance of the stats, they are a defensive powerhouse in NBA history.
Looking at the playoffs, it seems that there is only one person in them who is a defensive weakness, and that is Isaiah Joe, who is 1.91 meters tall and weighs 75 kilograms, and the Thunder have less use of his capital.
Alexander, Jalen Way, Holmgren, Hatten, Caruso, Dort, Wiggins, Wallace, Jaylin Way, these nine are enough.
With this thickness, there are a lot of people who are in the best defensive lineup, so the Thunder defense is awesome.
Therefore, if there is suspense in this group of finals, the biggest question is:How can the Pacers launch an efficient offensive attack with the Thunder's defensive intensity?
Foreseeable:Haliburton could face the toughest series of his life to play.
If this can get out of the way, then Harry's level must be raised.
But it must be said that Haliburton has averaged just 12 points per game against the Thunder over the past two seasons, the fewest of any of his opponents.
If the Pacers' engine is pinched, the fast attack can't be hit, and the positional battle is thunderous? I haven't even done the Nuggets with a combination of Teacher + Gordon...
Why don't I think the Pacers have a chance? I don't think Haliburton can play consistently in the series against the Thunder.
Single-digit points in a single game like in the regular season? The team didn't play.
From Daigneault's point of view, at a certain point in time, he will most likely remove Hatten and go to Caruso. All the Pacers block and dismantle, and they will make substitutions, and the bald mamba even goes to the top of the teacher, so why not be afraid of Turner.
The Thunder are not afraid to turn the Finals into a heads-up game, and they will not easily help you defend and let you shoot all the arrows, and Haliburton has the ability to kill me one by one.
Speaking of one-on-one, from the Pacers' perspective, if they want to pull off miracles, Siakam needs to completely turn into a god of war card and play a series that surpasses all of his previous levels.
This is a bit harsh for the MVP of the new East Finals, but that's the way it is. Playing positional battles, the team relies heavily on his offensive development.
Sika, can you destroy Holmgren, who is tall and has long arms? It was a test for him.
The Pacers' defensive principles, Carlisle is a very versatile head coach, and he does have something, one eye quadruple, two and three, and the ability to switch between a quick pack of SGA and a return position.
At this time, it will test the grasp of the Thunder role players' open three-pointers.
The Pacers' offense also needs to make trade-offs for the Thunder.
Whether OKC faced the Nuggets or the Timberwolves before, the Thunder had the right and confidence to give priority to the basket and protect the basket, so as to give some half-vacant opportunities, let go of Weishao, put Randle, put McDan...
The Pacers are the ultimate space team... This is where Indiana is awesome.
But overall, if the Thunder control turnovers better and don't let the Pacers get up to speed, who is bigger? It goes without saying.
The Pacers are the fourth No. 4 seed to reach the NBA Finals since the 1984 playoffs expansion, following the Dallas Mavericks in 2005-06, the Celtics in 2009-10 and the Cavaliers in 2017-18.
It's all the same loss.
I know, when it comes to the Pacers, Carlisle is a lot of people who tend to think of the 2011 Mavericks, and that's an example of a bad look.
Can history repeat itself? I respect the Pacers, but I also have to respect the Thunder's ability.
Although the opposite side is not the Heat Big Three, the dominance shown by the Thunder this season is not inferior to the Heat in terms of statistics.
Indiana, there may be a strategizing "Kidd", there is a wonder soldier Barria, there is a big lock Marion, there is a forward Sean Stevens, there is pitcher Peja...
But there are two single points that they don't have:
Great Novitsky.
Best Defensive Player, Chandler.(The Mavericks were crazy offensively that year, but let's not forget Chandler's defensive effectiveness, a pillar of optimism.) )
Replace Turner with a peak veteran, and pair it with an inside defensive gate to better protect the rebound, why not be afraid of the Thunder...
However, Carlisle did not have such a card.
Therefore, one can only hope for a miracle.
It's all hit on this, there is no cowardice, calm down, get off the dog posture, maybe you will surpass yourself.
The Pacers, relying on an incomparably crazy offense, quasi-four?(This sentence is marked in red and bold, in case it is done...) )