After the Paris Olympics, similar voices can often be seen: "The United States men's basketball team is no longer good!" โ
"At Los Angeles 2028, they will lose the title!"
"The United States men's basketball team is not picking up!"
Including a professional media teacher who gave this opinion: "The gold medal of the men's basketball team in the future is likely to be shared in turn!" โ
It may make sense, but, take turns sharing? I don't believe it.
Anyway, now let me predict who will be the biggest favorite to win the men's basketball championship in Los Angeles in four years? I don't have to think about it, it's United States, and they're unique.
The status of the United States as the No. 1 basketball power is really something that other countries cannot shake or touch.
Many media have said that the United States men's basketball team is too unbearable...
That's right, "unstable" is for sure.
But the "instability" of the United States men's basketball team is not a matter of one or two days, and since entering the 21st century, these Olympic Games, they have walked on thin ice and encountered challenges.
The big brothers lead the team, is it stable?
04 Athens was simply lost; 08 Beijing, 12 London, 16 Rio, they all encountered the stubborn resistance of Spain's golden generation; At the Tokyo Olympics, they lost to France in the group stage.
This year, the semi-final was almost pulled down by Serbia, and if it wasn't for Curry Ritian, the ball would have hung in the final.
So it's not just that the 2028 United States team is unstable, they have been challenged by other countries on the Olympic stage for the past 20 years.
To win the gold medal, they have to send their best players.
Especially in the current world basketball pattern, it is no longer a dream team back then, after the game, a group of players from other national teams asked you to take a group photo...
In Paris, there were 68 NBA players, and that number could be even more in four years' time.
68-12=56, the United States team has to face the challenge of 56 NBA players, and in 1992, excluding the United States team, there were only 9 NBA players.
The NBA's globalization strategy has raised a lot of "wolves".
Aren't they all NBA players who can really lead the team to challenge the dream team?
However, this commercial league does not need to care about the life and death of the national team, and the participation of more and more international players is indeed a major factor in the NBA's full mouth.
The second factor of "instability": these young people in the United States are indeed not very competitive.
Mr. Yoo, Alphabet, Dongzi, Alexander, these MVP-level players who are at the peak are all non-United States players...
By the way, including the Great, who is also Cameroonian.
"Lack of top hard goods" is a big problem for the United States men's basketball team, otherwise it would not be crazy to "gnaw old" at the Paris Olympics.
It is no exaggeration to say that if Zhan Duku goes one less, the ship will capsize this year, and there is no need to wait until 2028.
The few people that the NBA wanted to support, Tatum was reduced to a marginal person in this year's Olympics, and Huazi was more than brave, but lacked stability.
The two players who didn't come have great talent, but they haven't really cashed in yet:
Zion, the advantage is to play, the disadvantage is that you have to call in sick at every turn.
Morant, he may want to join the United States shooting team for the Olympics ...
As of now, no young United States player has shown Janduku's sheer ability.
But what if you worry about the future of basketball in United States? No need!
Seeing that some media have predicted the 12-man United States men's basketball team in 2028, they are:
Booker, Huazi, Tatum, Haliburton, Morant, Brunson, Brown, Adebayo, Holmgren, Fox, Flagg, Banchero.
As soon as the list came out, fans were more likely to be pessimistic about the United States team.
Actually, it's not necessary.
These predictions are enough to look at, and there will definitely be changes and discrepancies.
Because, you have to understand one thing, the time span of the Olympics is 4 years, not 1 year. What will the United States men's basketball team look like in 4 years? No one could have foreseen it.
These people are not starry enough and lack a big brother.
You say, is it difficult for the United States men's basketball team to train a supergiant in 4 years?
Historical-level stars like Janduku are not available every five years or ten years, and they may not be comparable to previous superstars, but worldwide, the talent pool of United States basketball is still too terrifying.
If you look at this year's Under-17s, you're even more sure of that. In the same age group, to play other European and American teams, it is still like playing, forming a well-known Istanbul tour group.
AJ DiBansa, Carlos Boozer's twin sons, Tyran Stokes... I wouldn't be surprised that some of these talented people are standing on the stage of the 2028 Olympics.
Someone always pops up,This is the confidence of United States basketball.
To give an example of a few events: the Chinese table tennis team also encountered challenges this year. You can see the huge potential that young Moregard and Lebrun have shown.
However, our position as the number one power in table tennis is still very stable.
Back to the United States men's basketball team, the "2028 Los Angeles Defense", the home battle, will definitely send the best players.
"Is it likely that the men's basketball gold medal will be shared in rotation in the future?" No!
Although world basketball as a whole is improving, (except Asia), in fact, there are still a few teams that really have a chance to pose a threat to the United States men's basketball team, Serbia, Canada, Germany, and France.
4 years is too long and a lot of things are unpredictable.
By 2028, Serbia's Jokic is 4 years older, will he become an equestrian? No one can pack a ticket.
What will Wembanyama in France look like by 2028? What is his health? We can't see that.
By 2028, will the Canada men's basketball team get better run-in and reinforcement? I don't know.
By 2028, can Doncic and Brother Alphabet have more powerful helpers by their side? Who knows...
What I do know is that the 2028 Olympic Games, held in the United States, are in the right place at the right time.
Can't play normally? Lao Tzu's referee blows you to death!
They are still the first children in the class, so we don't need to worry about salty radishes.
Every year is unstable, but friends, United States has won five consecutive championships.