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World Baseball Classic: Analysis of the Chinese Baseball National Team

The performance of the Chinese national baseball team in the World Baseball Classic (WBC) is generally in the development stage, and the following is the key analysis:



Historical performance

Number of entries: 2006, 2009, 2013, 2017, 2023 (5 in total)

Best result: Did not qualify in the group stage (11th in the highest single edition)

Record: 2-15 all-time (as of 2023)



2023 WBC Performance:

Grouping:Group B (Japan, Korea, Australia, Czech Republic, China)

Results:

China 1-8 Japan

China 2-12 Czech Republic

China 1-22 South Korea (4 games ended early)

China 2-12 Australia

Outstanding problems: more defensive errors (3 turnovers per game), insufficient pitcher pressure (team defense rate of 12.27), weak hitting firepower (1.5 points per game).




Constraints

Talent pool: There are less than 500 registered players in China, far lower than Japan and South Korea (both over 100,000).

League system: The China Baseball League (CNBL) has only 6 professional teams, and the degree of commercialization is low.

Shortcomings in youth training: The population of youth baseball is about 30,000, and there is a lack of systematic training mechanism.

Positive developments

Naturalized players: Introduce Chinese players in the MLB system (such as Zhu Quan and Yusuke Masa) to supplement their immediate combat power.

International cooperation: Cooperate with MLB to establish the Wuxi Development Center, which trains an average of 30 potential players every year.

Olympic opportunity: The return of baseball at the 2028 Los Angeles Olympics will promote increased policy support.

Developing

Grassroots popularization: By 2025, it is planned to add 300 primary and secondary schools with baseball characteristics.

Professional reform: The goal is to expand the CNBL to 10 teams by 2027 and introduce a foreign aid system.

Technology upgrade: Introduce TrackMan and other data systems to optimize the training system.

If the average annual investment growth rate of 15% is maintained, it is expected to hit the top five in Asia in the 2030s. The short-term breakthrough point is to strengthen the training of pitchers (the current average speed of U18 pitchers is only 135km/h, and the average speed of Japan and South Korea has reached 145km+) and increase the frequency of international competitions (the current average is less than 10 A-level games per year).


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